Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 200.224835 231.919478 268.114848 312.747529 366.629263 429.985635 510.723495
2025-09-14 150.374166 188.159413 235.585429 300.323096 387.705677 503.489313 671.812358
2025-09-21 125.952478 166.318622 220.486560 300.113760 417.006975 586.978908 861.901528
2025-09-28 110.148617 151.731540 210.575005 302.441956 447.064581 674.761926 1079.505806
2025-10-05 102.630660 146.904530 212.679177 321.307512 504.113191 815.216350 1423.505208
2025-10-12 96.197791 142.385378 214.006914 338.407506 560.924542 968.233224 1841.384703
2025-10-19 87.072156 132.318658 204.905170 336.202699 583.087542 1063.394509 2177.810398
2025-10-26 81.532871 127.155322 202.850447 345.465606 627.653731 1212.565222 2689.367967
2025-11-02 75.848350 120.995823 198.149688 348.876817 661.157982 1347.310571 3223.721983
2025-11-09 71.158012 115.943277 194.638701 353.778547 698.480789 1500.595261 3878.290316
2025-11-16 66.446977 110.314989 189.331544 354.160004 725.945759 1638.337548 4558.355023
2025-11-23 62.083081 104.844199 183.633092 352.772158 749.020976 1771.883382 5299.209543
2025-11-30 58.520625 100.878841 181.095798 359.450287 797.377360 2002.244519 6579.270036
2025-12-07 53.028274 92.798724 169.653785 345.057548 791.267119 2080.487972 7366.426205
2025-12-14 49.592526 88.288912 164.819872 344.837148 822.143216 2283.792726 8862.116728
2025-12-21 46.807342 84.746119 161.511647 347.591819 862.018613 2534.329883 10841.557799
2025-12-28 45.914604 84.864304 165.925159 369.919386 964.461817 3052.266220 14889.559429
2026-01-04 44.854125 84.511964 169.249287 390.196889 1067.723837 3634.848258 20307.890753
2026-01-11 42.242300 80.648548 164.218174 387.580328 1097.565339 3939.281469 24371.856570
2026-01-18 40.759752 79.045345 164.176623 398.577158 1176.919087 4511.242064 31833.023166
2026-01-25 38.959432 76.577619 161.804956 402.629561 1233.746762 5018.788633 40072.594755
2026-02-01 37.401963 74.501547 160.131189 408.455115 1299.626707 5623.053839 51292.677425
2026-02-08 35.673735 71.887571 156.842385 408.908585 1345.588176 6158.254994 63719.684654